Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signal potential diplomatic progress toward restoring commercial shipping. However, an Iranian source confirms Tehran is demanding operational oversight over inbound shipping through the narrow waterway, alongside visibility over outbound transit routed through Omani waters.

Despite conflicting statements on whether direct US-Iran talks are taking place, mediating partner Qatar confirms that active diplomatic coordination is ongoing across all parties to secure a ceasefire and restore freedom of navigation. Meanwhile, regional security remains highly volatile following a claimed Houthi strike on Saudi Arabia's Najran airport. The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough has triggered a 4% drop in crude oil prices to a 3-week low.

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