India’s southwest monsoon has officially arrived over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, with the IMD forecasting its arrival in Kerala by May 26 — earlier than the usual June 1 onset date. The early onset has raised hopes of relief from intense summer heat and a boost for India’s agriculture sector. But weather experts say an early monsoon does not guarantee above-normal rainfall. The India Meteorological Department has also warned that El Niño conditions could weaken rainfall this season, even as heatwaves continue across northern and central India.


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